For this argument we're going to take this step by step.
Let's look at where google+ was when it started.
When google+ was launched as beta it was exclusive. You could join by invite only. Everyone went crazy. Millions of people flocked to the front page of google+ hoping to get inside this new domain. A domain which is so unknown that guessing it's layout would be absurd.
This attracted the tech bloggers and gurus (e.g. Mark Zuckeberg) which really brought the internets attention to this new "social network".
It was so sought after in fact that invites were even being sold on eBay for as much as $1,400
And within the first 24 days massed a following of 20,000,000 users
In comparison it took facebook 1152 days to get to the same ammount of unique users and it took twitter 1035 days.
But where are we now?
google+ has become quite popular topping ten million users so far. Anyone with a google+ account will now start to see their friends and family slowly start popping up on the network. It has become a constant hash tag on twitter with at least ten tweets all using #google+ per second.
But what potential does this site have? Will it ever take over from Facebook making Facebook the new myspace. A website with almost no visitors that has to resort to advertising just to pay the server hosting costs?
Unfortunately there is no detonate answer but what I can give you is My own impression on the networks future. Here's what I think could happen.
google+, being a google product has the ability to be integrated into the mobile market. And i'm not just talking about a downloadable app, I"m loony about deep integration with mobile OS in all android devices regardless of age. Google own about 30% of the mobile phone market through their OS 'android'. That alone gives them up to 400 million people in the next five years. These users are going to be the tool of persuasion for google to get a hold of the majority of the market.
These G+ users will be the frontline in the conversion of Facebook account holders purely due to peer pressures.
But the google crusaders won't be just android users. These people, due to the bridge built by googles dev team, can be iOS (iphone, ipad ect.) users too.
Just for arguments sake if 70% of iOS users and android users had a google+ account with access on their phones that would be up to 60% of the global mobile market on google+
At this point it's just a matter of time before the rest of the Facebook users fall to google+ due to a Barron, empty Facebook.
Now don't get me wrong, this won't be instantaneous but it will be big and it won't be more than five years.
All of this information doesn't even include deep integration into other services such as YouTube and the browser google chrome.
And on that note if you liked this post please share and +1 it
-Zac
